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October 14.2025
2 Minutes Read

Why Most U.S. Consumers Expect Higher Holiday Prices and Economic Weakness

Women shopping with holiday gifts illustrating higher holiday prices and weaker economy.

Consumer Sentiment Takes a Hit This Holiday Season

This year, the holiday spirit appears subdued as economic concerns loom larger than ever. According to a recent Deloitte survey, a striking 57% of U.S. consumers anticipate a weakening economy in the coming year, marking the most pessimistic outlook since the firm began recording sentiment in 1997. This trend is particularly concerning for businesses eyeing the critical retail season, as consumer confidence is integral to spending.

Spending Plans Reflect Economic Anxiety

The survey reveals a notable shift in consumer behavior, with respondents planning to cut their holiday spending by an average of 10%. This decline is even steeper among the Gen Z demographic, who expect to reduce their holiday expenditure by a staggering 34% compared to last year. As inflation continues to pressure budgets, many consumers are seeking out discounts and adhering to tight financial strategies as they brace for higher prices, a sentiment echoed by 77% of those surveyed who believe holiday items will cost more this season.

The Gloom of Inflationary Pressures

Inflation is a primary culprit driving this cautious spending behavior, especially impacting younger consumers who are grappling with housing costs and fluctuating grocery prices. For retailers, these insights serve as a cautionary tale during one of the most vital sales periods. Despite this bleak forecast, consulting firm Bain & Co. suggests that holiday spending may still see a modest increase of 4% year-over-year, albeit below the historical average of 5.2% growth. Businesses may need to strategize on how best to connect with consumers while navigating these challenging economic conditions.

What This Means for Businesses in San Jose

For residents and small business owners in San Jose, understanding these consumer trends is crucial for developing effective strategies during the holiday season. As spending priorities shift, businesses can leverage this moment to innovate and adapt to customer needs. Exploring new business development avenues and honing small business tips could provide pathways to thrive in these uncertain times.

The upcoming holidays will test the mettle of businesses while consumers navigate their tightening budgets. For those interested in how to start a business or improve business growth strategies, leveraging local market insights can help address these economic challenges effectively.

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